NCAA tournament bracketology: Can Ohio State hold off Illinois for final No. 1 seed?

4 mins read


In a battle between two projected No. 1 seeds, Ohio State fell to Michigan 92-87 on Sunday at home.  

The Buckeyes (18-5, 12-5) and top No. 2 seed Illinois are so close that Ohio State would have dropped from its No. 1 seed with a loss to any other Big Ten team besides Michigan. 

The Fighting Illini (16-5, 12-3) haven’t lost since Jan. 16, a head-to-head meeting with the Buckeyes that is the difference maker right now. 

When applying a blind résumé test, Ohio State has eight Quadrant 1 (top-25 home, top-75 away) victories compared to Illinois’ seven. But the Illini have a better NET score of 4 compared to OSU’s 7, partially due to playing two fewer games, which included a postponement of their scheduled Feb. 11 clash with Michigan (now slated for March 2). 

Ohio State Buckeyes forward E.J. Liddell (32) goes up for a shot against Illinois Fighting Illini forward Giorgi Bezhanishvili (15) during the second half at the State Farm Center.

Ohio State has a better strength of schedule, but Illinois could shorten the margin by playing four of its last five on the road – with all of those Quad 1 opportunities. OSU, meanwhile, only has three games in Big Ten play remaining. 

Gonzaga, Baylor and Michigan are close to solidifying No. 1 seeds. Should this battle for the final top seed remain tight, a March 6 meeting between Ohio State and Illinois –  the Big Ten finale for both teams – could be a crucial outcome for the NCAA selection committee entering Selection Sunday, which is March 14.  

The NCAA Tournament tips off March 18.

No. 1 seeds

Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Ohio State. 

Last four in

Seton Hall, Minnesota, Maryland, Syracuse.

First four out

Georgia Tech, Indiana, Connecticut, Utah State.

Next four out

St. Johns, Stanford, Ole Miss, SMU.

***

***

Others considered for at-large bids (no particular order): Memphis, Richmond, St. Louis, Pittsburgh, UAB, Georgia, Duke. 

On life support: TCU, Marquette, Providence, Marshall, Utah, Arizona State, Oregon State, Mississippi State, Kentucky, South Carolina, Texas A&M, St Mary’s, San Francisco, Michigan State, North Carolina State, Dayton, Davidson, Nevada, Penn State.

Multi-bid conferences: Big Ten (9), Big 12 (7), ACC (6), SEC (6), Pac-12 (4), Big East (4), Mountain West (3), Atlantic 10 (2), Missouri Valley (2), West Coast (2).



Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.

Previous Story

MEP breaks ranks and hits out at dithering eurocrats over delay to crunch Brexit vote

Next Story

Brexit rebellion: Isle of Man goes rogue on fishing – EU ships welcomed in 'petty' move

Latest from Blog