Donald Trump and Joe Biden have now both secured official nominations to stand for their respective parties following the Republican and Democrat national conventions. Public favour has so far skewed towards Mr Biden as COVID-19 has caused a sharp drop in the incumbent President’s popularity. The polls have, at times, shown a gap of up to 10 points between them, but they remain in flux.
Will Donald Trump or Joe Biden win the US election?
The outcome of this year’s election seems cut and dried so far, as Mr Biden has commanded a consistent majority over his rival.
Aggregators have noted distinct peaks and troughs over the last few months, but the Democrat candidate has remained at least five points ahead.
As of September 2, he has 50.2 percent of the vote over Mr Trump’s 42.9 percent.
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But President Trump has recently recovered slightly.
Last week, Mr Biden commanded a nine-point lead over his rival, who had just a 41 percent chance to remain in the Oval Office.
Now, the lead has collapsed to just 7.3 percent, and the numbers will continue to shift like this until November 3.
Odds have fallen in line with the latest polls, according to analysts with The Pools.
Mr Trump currently has an aggregated approval rating of 41.9 percent, with a net loss according to RealClearPolitics.
His disapproval rating sits at 55.6 percent, capturing an over-all picture for the President, who has failed to break the 50 percent mark throughout his first term.
Polls have also shown voters looking unfavourably on Mr Biden, who has an approval rating of 44.5 percent.
He has a disapproval rate of 46.1 percent, showing a much closer competition than other polls suggest.